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Episode 3 Predictions

Episode Title Analysis

"It's Called a Russell Seed"

It's likely that Russell plants a seed of doubt in someone's head regarding another person in the tribe. This in turns make someone's that is a non-threat suddenly the tribe's target.

CBS Clues

"It's Called A Russell Seed" - A clever lie turns a tribe against one of its most harmless members. Meanwhile, at the reward challenge, the chief of one tribe makes a controversial decision that lands him in the crossfire back at camp, on SURVIVOR: SAMOA, Thursday, Oct. 1 (8:00-9:00 PM ET/PT) on the CBS Television Network

CBS Website: Russell struggles to maintain his control as the tribe turns on one of his allies.....

Russell H. targets someone harmless on the tribe, which by default has eliminated Ben. We have our guess on Natalie or Jaison.

We also know that Russell S. decides to take one reward over another (sleeping rewards vs. a tarp).

Reward Challenge - GALU WINS, Immunity Challenge - ?

     

The tribes must swim out to the ocean and retrieve five puzzle boxes. There also seems to be a designated area where the opposing tribe can try to slow down the other tribe. It looks like Galu is victorious yet again as we see a screencap of Kelly holding blankets, etc. This will inevitably bode poorly for Russell S. who also has the opportunity to take a tarp for the tribe (but for whatever reason, does not pick it).

Because we see Shambo and Brett sitting out (notably two players that would be great at a physical challenge), we believe there will be in fact an immunity challenge. There also appears to be no immunity idol in sight at the challenge.

Boot Prediction - BEN... LIZ?

In the episode preview, we hear Natalie mentioning that it is between "someone" or most likely Ben at the next vote. Based on what Russell said, he goes after someone deemed as harmless. The person least harmful to him would be the person he has a tight alliance with, which we saw in Episode 2 as Jaison. Natalie is probably letting Ashley know the situation so they can possibly save Jaison who is lying right next to them. If Mick is truly sticking with Jaison, that would be a four person alliance: Mick, Jaison, Natalie and Ashley. They can easily target any of the other 3: Russell, Ben, or Liz. Because Russell is the star, he's good this episode. We haven't seen too much of Liz last episode so it would be odd if she got the sudden boot. However, they could easily keep Ben vs. Liz just solely based on strength. And if Russell wants to keep Ben around, then he can easily plant a seed of doubt about Liz (thus another example of him targeting someone 'harmless'). And Ben's arc could easily be up after his outburst in Episode 2, so for now, we are going to say he's our official boot prediction (unless we get more information come Thursday).

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