Week three is upon us and what does Mark Burnett have in store for us this time around?  Judging by the promos on television, the tribes will merge from four to two (and later in the season, from two to one obviously) so we’ll get our first real look at which tribe might be in it for the long haul and which one will, let’s just say…sacrifice some members.  It appears that the two tribes will be wearing blue and red and will have nine players each.  The thing is, this time around, we already know a lot about the different people and we’ll get to actually see how the ethnic bonds either hold up or truly don’t matter. 

As of right now, the two tribes that are at a disadvantage are Aitu and Hiki.  Hmmm…I wonder if Aitu is thinking twice about throwing that challenge now, eh?  Nevertheless, it looks like the tribes will be randomly divided which is fine by me.  Divide them up any way you can I say and let the feathers fall where they may (an inside joke if you’ve seen the promos).

As for the challenge, it appears to be a recap of one they had in Survivor: Palau, which is fine by me because I rather liked the ones they had during the season.  I’ll be quite honest here, I really have no idea which tribe wins and which tribe loses.  I have no idea who will be sent to Exile Island and don’t know if one or two Tribal Councils will be held.  Common logic would say that two Tribal Councils will be held as they’ve still got a surplus of players and they’re in the third episode, so unless this season will have 16 episodes, it would make sense if they’d boot two in one episode and then another two in a future one.

The game will change from here, we can pick some sides and it should get more interesting as it progresses.

As of right now, the two tribes that are at a disadvantage are Aitu and Hiki

Even though I 'think' the spoiler has committed to an Aitu Tribal Council this week, it is still nearly impossible to hand pick a boot for this week. In that case, I will try to arrive to some logical conclusion by the end of this.

After seeing the physical nature of this challenge, I think the men will finally be spared this episode. You could make a case for Cao Boi to leave, but the tribe won't get to know long enough to know that he bugs to have around at camp. Lets evaluate the women and their shot at leaving this week.

Becky - Well, we have barely heard from her. She has an alliance with Yul. Nothing more than that, too invisible to leave at this point.

Sundra - We haven't heard from her since Episode 1. Unless she comes off as a super physical liability, the only Hiki tribe member will go unnoticed at this Tribal Council.

Cecilia - I do not get why people are looking to her as the next boot. From what we saw last episode, she latched onto Cristina because she respected her, and now she is separated from her. What is she going to do now? Latch on some other group of course... and someone is bound to use her vote for their game.

Jessica - Her storyline involves her losing chickens, and now, not cooperating with Jonathan strategy-wise. It's tempting to believe that she is actually leaving this episode, but I have a feeling that Jonathan will think it's too soon to cut her loose. A good thing for her is that she at least does better than Becky in the challenge, so we know she doesn't drag the tribe down too much.

Candice - She was a focus of the last episode, even though she wasn't on camera. Her main squeeze Adam is on another tribe being targeted by Parvati. Her commentary on the game makes it sound like she knows what the game is about, perhaps that is all we will know her for (and the Billy romance of course). She looks like she can be an easy outsider on the new Aitu tribe as you have Becky-Yul, Ozzy-Cecilia, Jonathan-Jessica, and then the rest: Candice, Cao Boi and Sundra - Cao Boi and Sundra being safe for the reason's above.

 She looks like she can be an easy outsider on the new Aitu tribe

Hey Survivor fans! Last episode was one of the best I think we've seen in quite a while. Anyways onto this week... well, pretty much everything is up in the air this week, considering there are new tribes. There's no way to really predict a whole lot accurately. From the vidcaps, it looks like Rarotonga has the advantage, so I'll give 'em the edge. As for Tribal Council... it really could be anyone. I'm pretty much stuck between Candice, Jessica and Cecilia. But I'm going with Candice.

I'm pretty much stuck between Candice, Jessica and Cecilia.