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  Episode 14 Prediction
 
Say Goodbye to Gabon


Episode Title Analysis: Say Goodbye to Gabon

It is the finale... so it will be the last time we will get to enjoy Gabon.

This week's prediction will be a little bit different than what you are used to. We will be analyzing each of the Survivors throughout their time in Survivor Gabon, and in that sense, we will provide you with our predictions for the finale.

CBS Clues

#1 - Two castaways are sent packing, leaving three to plead their case for the one million dollar prize and the title of sole survivor. Confirms a Final 3

#2 - A shocking turn of events causes the castaways to scramble for new strategies in the moments before Tribal Council. Someone unexpected wins immunity?

#3 - The fate of the final four rests in the hands of one castaway who reveals an outrageous decision at the most surprising Tribal Council yet. Rumors are that Sugar can't take the pressure of being in the finals so backs out, we don't know if that is even plausible... what else could be more outrageous than quitting

#4 - The jury is faced with a million dollar decision after they question the last three castaways at the final Tribal Council.

The Final Five

Bob Crowley

Bob started out this game with almost no solid story line. Up until episode 7, he had the second to least confessionals (next to Susie). We already have gotten this vibe that the editors want us to respect his gameplay simply because the man is old and very crafty. But aside from his long standing reputation of being very handy around camp, the strategy side of him has lacked until recently and we just don't see that being enough for him to win. Add to the fact that the Onion comprise a majority of the jury and we have reason to suspect the others will block him from making the final 4. In any case, we would be disappointed with a Bob win because to us, it would come out of nowhere.

Jury Likeability: Great
Our Likeability:
OK
Story Arc Strength:
OK
Factor that Keeps Him From Winning:
Too huge of a threat to bring to Final 3
Predicted Finish:
5th Place


MATTY WHITMORE

Preseason, Matty has made himself into a person that was reconstructing his life. We have seen him survive being on one of the most abysmal tribes ever on Survivor. Eventually, his time out here makes him realize that he wants to spend the rest of his life with his girlfriend and decides to propose. In terms of storyline, Matty has gotten what he wanted out of the game. Proposing to his girlfriend seems to be the pinnacle of his story arc, so winning at this point will only overshadow his proposal. The others do not want to go up against him for any kind of endurance challenge so he'll likely be gone soon. I don't think he is as well liked by the jury as we are all thinking, but the people left in the game feel like they are hated more compared to Matty. An alliance with Susie means nothing as we have seen throughout this season so she will try to vote out her competition in a heartbeat.

Jury Likeability: Good
Our Likeability:
Poor
Story Arc Strength:
OK
Factor that Keeps Him From Winning:
Too whiny, jury performance likely horrible
Predicted Finish:
4th Place


SUSIE SMITH

She is a bigger character than we are being shown on TV, especially if you have the opportunity to watch all of the Insider videos that CBS puts up. Susie has some real game in her but there is a reason the editors are shafting her in the actual show. The reason being is that she has no bearing on the actual outcome. She hasn't been identified as good or evil, she probably doesn't earn a single jury vote. The other players know how the jury feels about Susie, so she will likely get a free ride to the finals. There has to be a reason they kept shoving her final 3 quote down our throats during the Marcus boot episode.

Jury Likeability: Poor
Our Likeability:
OK
Story Arc Strength:
Poor
Factor that Keeps Him From Winning:
Too under the radar, practically invisible to viewers, cause for the downfall of the Onions
Predicted Finish:
3rd Place


SUGAR KIPER

Sugar... we never thought of her lasting this long, but ever since she found the idol, her confidence within the game kept growing. She is definitely the most emotional of the bunch, and that is affecting her gameplay. With a wildcard like that left in the game, no one really knows what she is going to do, it just simply depends on how she feels moments leading up to Tribal Council. Still, she has been a constant focus over the season, being a city girl adjusting to the wild and a self-proclaimed traitor. In any case, she is all about making sure the right people win, and at this point, she is on the Bob and Matty bandwagon rather than for herself. She isn't playing to win, just for the good guys to win.

Jury Likeability: Poor
Our Likeability:
Good
Story Arc Strength:
Good
Factor that Keeps Him From Winning:
Too emotional when playing the game, enemies on jury
Predicted Finish:
Runner-up


KEN HOANG

Ken's storyline has been about his transition from a nerdy video gamer into a person who is able to live in the wilderness and interact with other people. We are worried about his sudden increase in cockiness over the last few episodes so we want to say that he is being set up for a downfall. In any case, we do feel that he has been attributed with the most "game," voting in terms of improving his own situation rather than using his emotions. Still, we think that all of the negative editing will have a last minute redemption arc where he somehow weasels his way into the final 3.

Jury Likeability: Good
Our Likeability:
Good
Story Arc Strength:
Good
Factor that Keeps Him From Winning:
Too cocky and overconfident, seen as evil
Predicted Finish:
Sole Survivor

Official Prediction

5th place - BOB CROWLEY

4th place - MATTY WHITMORE

3rd place - SUSIE SMITH

2nd place - SUGAR KIPER

Sole Survivor - KEN HOANG

 

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