Episode 6 Prediction
He's a Snake, but He's
My Snake
Episode Title Analysis: He's a Snake, but He's
My Snake
We are
making an educated guess and believing that
Sugar will say that about her ally, Ace. It
has been confirmed that she says this during an
episode promo.
CBS Clues
#1
- One
tribe
makes a
lucky
catch
that
results
in an
exotic
feast.
At this point, we can't see Fang catching
anything.
#2
- One
castaway’s
guilt
drives
her to
tears on
her stay
at
Exile.
We can
really
only see
Sugar or
Susie
breaking
down at
this
point.
#3
- In the
wake of
a tough
loss,
one
castaway’s
emotional
outburst
causes
her to
become a
target.
A
tough
loss
would
probably
point to
Fang,
and it
seems
like she
would be
most
affected
by a
loss--we
don't
see
Kelly
and
Sugar
getting
too
bogged
down by
the fact
that
they are
losing.
#4
- One
castaway’s
large
appetite
has his
tribe on
edge as
the
camp’s
rations
begin to
dwindle.
Is
food
that
scarce
on Kota?
Probably
not, so
judging
from
what was
alluded
to in
Episode
4, Ken
is
eating
more
than his
fair
share.
#5
- The
hidden
immunity
idol
changes
possession,
rousing
suspicion
for one
castaway.
Sounds
like
Sugar
offers
the idol
to Ace
for his
use. We
aren't
sure if
this
means
they are
about to
go to
Tribal
Council.
Based
on the CBS previews, there are two very physical
challenges. Because we don't see the immunity
idol, we believe this may be the reward
challenge, which at this stage seems very close.
Tribe members are paired up. We see Matty and
Ken, Crystal and Ace, and Sugar and Kelly as
pairs for Fang. Marcus and Dan, Randy and Robert
and Corinne and Charlie are likely the pairs for
Kota. At this point, it may just be a
relay through the jungle.
Exile - A Female... Sugar most likely
Sugar
seems to be the only one that would cry on Exile
at this point.
There's been a lot of coverage of the Fang tribe
discussing strategy, usually an indication that
that tribe will be heading to Tribal Council. In
one scene, we have Ace and Sugar talking about
exchanging the idol and another preview has
shown Ace wanting to use Matty as a Benedict
Arnold (traitor).
The
immunity challenge looks like it involves
carrying a snake either through an obstacle
course or in a big circle. If it is in a big
circle, the challenge would be over as soon as
one tribe catches up to the other.
We
have reason to believe that Fang will lose based
on Crystal crying in this photo. She is not
wearing the
black outfit
that we see her wearing in the web challenge.
Compared to this
photo,
the sequence of events suggest that this event
is separate from the web challenge. The promos
revealed that someone will break down after a
tough loss, so here it is--Crystal. She will be
a boot target (misdirection), but her tribe will
definitely be heading to Tribal Council.
Boot Prediction - Kelly; back up Sugar
Fang's
losing streak seems like it will continue and a
female on the tribe will be on the way out. We
should assume that Crystal is safe because of
her "strength" which makes us believe that
either Sugar or Kelly will be gone. The promos
have been playing up a big blunder by Sugar
giving Ace the idol. Jeff has also hinted that
the idol was not used properly early on, so is
this all misdirection or an event that will
actually unfold? We believe that this will
definitely bite her in the butt. She's been
built up for quite some time now, but her trust
in the snake will be her downfall.
Up until this point, I was confident that Sugar
was making an entrance after her blunder...BUT,
after seeing the preview in which we see a
tearful Crystal, I'll have to go back to the
drawing board before submitting my final answer.
Voting
out Kelly does seem to be the best move for
Crystal/Ken and Matty if he is on board
with them. Why would they want to stick with
Kelly if it gives them a 1/4 shot of going home
if they vote out the person with the idol? Ken
described Kelly solely being used as a vote, and
now, it seems like it is best to give her up in
order to maintain the majority alliance. The
trio will fake out Kelly into voting A/S, A/S
will vote one of the other four, and the
original Fang will vote unified against Kelly,
guaranteeing that even if an idol is played,
none of the three of them left will be going
nowhere.
Is Crystal talking to Kelly as she is making
that "Don't mistake my tears as a sign of
weakness?" I can see Kelly making some offensive
comment regarding Crystal's meltdown and she is
none too happy. As we learned last episode with
GC, after someone crosses Crystal, you are done,
there is nothing left to do but to vote you out.
If she does indeed get in a squabble with Kelly,
I am sure she will run to Ken to try to get him
to vote against Kelly(which would then be
followed by Ken talking to Matty and Matty to
A/S if he is with them). At that point, the idol
would not be played and then it would definitely
make sense for Matty to side with A/S because
they have the idol in their possession, and
therefore the power.
It really is down to the two blondes again, but
which one?
We are
going to go with Kelly this week!
