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Episode Title Analysis: Want to See the Elephant
Dung?
 More likely than not, the episode title will
have no bearing on who will actually get the
boot this episode. We assume that it will be a
quote that one of the Survivors will say.
CBS Clues
No
clues have been available at this time.
Tribal Breakdown
Based
on evidence of the Survivors wearing colored
buffs,
the tribal breakdown has
been established here.
The tribe names are Fang and Kota. As mentioned
previously, the tribes will be selected via a
schoolyard pick'em which may explain why one
tribe looks more physically fit than the "older"
tribe. As revealed in the EW.com video, the
Survivors will not have to pick alternating men
and women.
Reward Challenge - Kota Wins, Dan and Ace win
individual immunity
No
evidence has supported the existence of a reward
challenge, however, it looks like the Survivors
upon receiving their tribal assignments have
some incentive to race down a hill. It appears
that the first tribe that makes it to their mat
will win a bag of rice. It has also been
revealed that the first person from each tribe
that gets to the mat will also have immunity at
their first trip to Tribal Council.
Exile - Unprobable
There
has been no evidence that exile will start the
first episode, however, with a two-hour long
episode, it is very possible that someone will get
exiled in which we will be exposed to the twist
of the season: the Survivor exiled will either
get an instant comfort (which should get
progressively better as the game goes on, so it
may start off with an apple and end with a car)
or receive a clue to the whereabouts of the
hidden immunity idol. On day 1 of filming, it
has been revealed that Exile has not been
completed so we may not see it in the first
episode afterall.
Immunity Challenge - Kota Wins
 TV
Guide's preview has revealed the structure of
the first immunity challenge. Six Survivors will
start off tied together and must traverse an
obstacle course: run down a hill, charge through
a swamp, go over an A-frame, crawl under and
over posts, and dig up puzzle pieces in addition
to digging a hole large enough to get their
entire tribe under a gate. The puzzles pieces
are then handed off to the other three members
of the tribe, and they must put together an
image of their tribal flag.
For
Kota:
we have Ace, Charlie, Corinne, Jacque, Kelly and
Marcus running the course.
For
Fang: we have Crystal, Danny, GC, Ken, Matty,
Michelle
While
both tribes appear neck and neck, the appearance
of the immunity idol at Fang (bottom left image)
has us believing that they will take home the
first immunity challenge.
Boot Prediction - Gillian? Michelle?
With
Fang safe at the first Tribal Council, someone
on Kota will bite the dust. Viewing the image
below, you will see five members of Kota:
Crystal, Danny, GC, Matty and Randy. This is a
different challenge as Randy did not previously
participate in the 6 member part of the immunity
challenge discussed above. If this is from a
later immunity challenge, this means that
Gillian, Ken, Michelle and Susie are most at
risk.
With
scenes that have shown Susie bonding with Ken,
and Susie also bonding with Crystal, there is
probably a good chance that both of them will be
safe at the vote.
 That
leaves our boot prediction between Gillian, the
oldest woman of the tribe who can be seen as a
physical liability. Kota will likely feel
outmatched by Fang's strength so getting rid of
the oldest person makes the most sense for their
tribe.
 Michelle,
who describes herself as "standing out" and also
assessed by Jeff Probst as someone needing to be
brought in by a group or losing the game is also
at risk. She may have an edge on Gillian
physically, but if Gillian manages to rally the
older people in her tribe, Michelle may be the
one to go. With the three older people on the
tribe, it wouldn't be a good idea to get the
oldest, because once they are gone, you are
next.
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